Skip to main content
Ratio forecasting predicts future attendance and staffing needs based on current enrollment, planned absences, and historical attendance patterns. This helps you plan staff schedules weeks in advance with confidence. Ratio forecasting page with projected attendance table and staffing recommendations

Quick start: check weekly forecast

1

Go to Ratio Forecast

Navigate to Ratio Forecast from the main menu.
2

Select your date range

At the top of the page, choose a range:
  • 1 Week: Next 7 days (immediate planning)
  • 2 Weeks: Next 14 days (recommended for standard scheduling)
  • 1 Month: Next 30 days (long-term planning)
You can also select custom start and end dates.The page displays your historical no-show rate (calculated from the last 30 days), which is automatically applied to all projections.
3

Read the projected attendance table

The main table shows daily projections broken down by age group. Each row shows the date, projected attendance per age group (e.g., “4 of 5” means 5 enrolled, projecting 4 will attend), total projected attendance, compliance status, and staff needed.
4

Check the staffing recommendations

Below the table, a recommendations card shows which days need extra staff:
  • OK (green): Current staffing is adequate
  • +1, +2 (yellow): Number of additional staff members needed
5

Validate with forecast accuracy

At the bottom, the Forecast Accuracy section shows how well predictions have matched actual attendance over the past 7 days.

Understanding the status columns

Status indicators

StatusColorWhat it means
CompliantGreenRatios will be met with current staffing
WarningYellowApproaching ratio limits (80-90% capacity)
CriticalOrangeAt ratio limits (90-100% capacity)
ExceededRedRatios will be exceeded without additional staff

Forecast accuracy ratings

RatingAccuracy rangeWhat it means
Excellent85% or higherTrust these predictions
Good70-84%Generally reliable, minor adjustments may be needed
Needs ImprovementBelow 70%Use caution, validate with other data

Understanding no-show rate

The no-show rate is the percentage of enrolled children who don’t attend on a typical day, calculated from the last 30 days of actual attendance. Example calculation:
  • 28 children enrolled
  • Historical no-show rate: 12%
  • 2 children have planned absences today
  • Eligible to attend: 28 - 2 = 26 children
  • Projected attendance: 26 x (1 - 0.12) = 23 children
Factors that affect no-show rate include illness patterns, weather, day of week, and family schedules.

Staffing decision framework

StatusDecisionAction
Green (Compliant, OK)Maintain current staffingNone needed
Yellow (Warning, OK or +1)Monitor closelyHave backup staff available
Orange (Critical, +1 or +2)Schedule additional staff immediatelyConfirm coverage before the day
Red (Exceeded, +2 or more)Schedule additional staff and review enrollmentMultiple staff members needed

Weekly planning workflow

1

Review the 2-week forecast every Monday morning

Look for days with additional staff needs and note any warning or critical status days.
2

Identify high-attendance days

Tuesday through Thursday are typically busiest. Plan extra staff for these days.
3

Check planned absences

The forecast automatically accounts for absences you have marked. If you mark more absences later, the forecast adjusts.
4

Schedule additional staff early

Call floaters or part-timers for days showing +1 or +2. Schedule early to ensure availability.
5

Check again mid-week

Review the forecast Wednesday to adjust for the following week. Absences and enrollment change throughout the week.
Always staff based on Projected attendance, not enrolled numbers. Enrolled numbers don’t account for absences or no-shows, and staffing based on enrollment leads to over-staffing.

Forecast vs. dashboard

FeatureRatio Forecast pageAttendance Dashboard
PurposePlan future staffingTrack today’s attendance
Time range1 week to 1 month aheadToday only
AudienceDirectors, administratorsAll staff
Update frequencyChanges with absences/enrollmentReal-time (every 60 seconds)
Use the forecast for planning (Monday morning review) and the dashboard for operations (throughout the day).

Troubleshooting

Refresh the page and check your internet connection. If the problem persists, contact support.
Not enough historical data yet. Wait 7-14 days for the system to collect attendance data. Use enrollment numbers as a guide until accuracy improves.
Check the no-show rate at the top of the page. Review planned absences in the Child Roster and cancel any incorrect absences. If the no-show rate is unusually high, consider seasonal factors.
Verify all known absences are marked in the system. The forecast will adjust over 30 days as patterns stabilize.
Forecasts update based on new planned absences, changes in enrollment, and updates to the historical no-show rate. This is normal and ensures your forecast stays current.
Currently, forecasts are view-only. Take a screenshot or manually note days needing additional staff in your scheduling system.

Tips for directors

  1. Plan Monday morning meetings around forecasts: Review the 2-week forecast, assign staffing, discuss concerns.
  2. Share forecasts with your team: Let teachers know when high-attendance days are coming.
  3. Use forecasts for enrollment decisions: If you are consistently at “critical” or “exceeded” status, you may need to cap enrollment or hire more staff.
  4. Budget for forecast-driven staffing: Forecasts help you schedule part-time and floater staff more efficiently.
  5. Mark absences as soon as you know: The more accurate your absence data, the more accurate the forecast.